Commitment of Traders Sell Signal in Australian Dollar

Key Reversal Bar Triggers Short Sale in Australian Dollar

November 11, 2012

This trade setup is merely a random sample of the day’s trades generated by COT Signals. To track our work their and receive all of our nightly trading recommendations, click here.

This morning’s trade in the Australian Dollar Futures ties uses both fundamental and technical analysis. Fundamentally, the commercial traders are bearish on the Australian Dollar. Recent speculative buying pushed the market to overbought levels heading into Friday’s trade.
Technically, we saw just how weak the speculative hands are in the market as the Australian Dollar put in an outside day closing below Thursday’s low. This is especially important as Friday’s high marked a new 30 day high and was followed by an immediate washout.
We are selling the Australian Dollar Futures and placing a protective buy stop at Friday’s high of 103.84. This represents about $600 in risk at current market levels.

Key Reversal Bar in Australian Dollar Futures

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ANDREW WALDOCK
866-990-0777
This information is not to be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer to buy the commodities herein named. The factual information of this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily all-inclusive and is not guaranteed as to the accuracy, and is not to be construed as representation by Commodity & Derivative Adv. The risk of trading futures and options can be substantial. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Commercial Traders Selling Corn Rally

Commitment of Traders Report Shows Heavy Selling in Corn Futures.

Commercial traders shed 23% of position ahead of WASDE report.

July 12, 2012

This trade setup is merely a random sample of the day’s trades generated by COT Signals. To track our work their and receive all of our nightly trading recommendations, click here.

 

 

There’s no question the corn crop will struggle to meet the market’s expectations. Early calls are for a national yield now aproaching 145 bushels per acre. Furthermore, much of the record acreage planted is in marginal land with little hope for good production in anything but perfect weather.

Despite the bullish fundamentals, commercial traders in the grain markets were clear in their intentions of getting forward delivereies sold ahead of the WASDE report. Their selling intensified in the last week of the rally. They sold 27,000 corn futures contracts as the market consolidated. Will this form an island top and gap lower leaving small specs and funds to bail out of their long positions? I would expect the market to fall far enough to close the gap left from July 3^rd, at least.

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ANDREW WALDOCK

866-990-0777

This information is not to be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer to buy the commodities herein named. The factual information of this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily all-inclusive and is not guaranteed as to the accuracy, and is not to be construed as representation by Commodity & Derivative Adv. The risk of trading futures and options can be substantial. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Commitment of Traders Confirms Natural Gas Reversal

Commercial Trader Selling Leads to Key Reversal

Commitment of Traders Report identifies commercial traders as main sellers on natural gas futures rally.

The natural gas market is awash in excess supply. The warm summer has helped to push current stock through the pipeline but the fundamental picture remains little changed. New technologies have simply led to a glut of natural gas on the market.

The expectations for the natural gas futures market can be clearly seen in the actions of the commercial traders. They were the ones building the base as it traded down to $2 and below and they are primary sellers now that the market has rebounded.

Building on their success in this market we will also employ the technical key reversal in our creation of a new short trade. We will place our protective buy stop above Friday’s high at 3.060. Nearest supprt is $2.500. I expect the market to trade closer to $2.000 or below.

Sign Up for COT Signals.

ANDREW WALDOCK

866-990-0777

This information is not to be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer to buy the commodities herein named. The factual information of this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily all-inclusive and is not guaranteed as to the accuracy, and is not to be construed as representation by Commodity & Derivative Adv. The risk of trading futures and options can be substantial. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Lean Hog Futures Reversal Keyed by Commercial Selling

Futures Trading with the Commitment of Traders Report

Commitment of traders report shows heavy lean hog futures selling.

July lean hogs have rallied more than 13% since the May lows. This has also been a textbook seasonal trade with July hogs rallying into early June and should sell off through the middle of July into expiration. The commercial traders have had their way this market, buying the May lows and now, selling the June highs.
Yesterday’s action was indicative of a technical top as the market posted a new high for the run yet, closed below the previous day’s low.
We’ll tie that into strong commercial selling as the Commitment of Traders report shows that they have shed more than 25,000 contracts in the last three weeks. We are selling July lean hogs and placing a protective buy stop above yesterday’s high at 94.00.

ANDREW WALDOCK
866-990-0777
This information is not to be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer to buy the commodities herein named. The factual information of this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily all-inclusive and is not guaranteed as to the accuracy, and is not to be construed as representation by Commodity & Derivative Adv. The risk of trading futures and options can be substantial. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results